Gareth Southgate’s men united a nation on Tuesday as they sunk the Germans 2-0 at Wembley to win their first ever Euro’s knockout game within 90 minutes and get their first win over the old enemy in eight attempts. That victory has set up a favourable run-in with Ukraine, Czech Republic, and Denmark the other three nations left in this side of the draw.

Ukraine had their own drama in Tuesday’s late kick-off, scoring the winner in added time of extra-time to knockout Sweden and reach their first ever Euro’s quarter-final. Andriy Shevchenko’s men put in a spirited display, and ended up having the legs on their opponents who were reduced to 10 men in added time. It’s fair to say the Ukrainians rode their luck slightly, with Emile Forsberg inches away from a hat-trick having hit the woodwork on multiple occasions, though it’s showed just how difficult they are to beat and this match is by no means a foregone conclusion.

Indeed, they’ve lost just twice now in 10 matches under Shevchenko’s reign, though in truth they haven’t exactly excelled in that time and have won just three times in 90 minutes, with those victories coming over notably weaker outfits Northern Ireland, Cyprus and North Macedonia, and up against the better sides they often struggle. When facing sides currently ranked above them, they’re just W2-D2-L8 since international football returned after the Covid enforced break and although they regularly find the net in such games, scoring in two thirds of them, they’ve still tasted heavy defeats to Spain (4-0), France (7-1) and Switzerland (3-0).

Confidence will certainly be high in the three lions camp at the moment, though they face a different test here in that this will be their first and only game of the Euros not to be played on home soil. The neutral territory shouldn’t make too much of a difference though as they are now 10 games unbeaten and have kept nine clean sheets across them.

Eyes will be on Gareth Southgate and what system/personnel he opts to start with for this game, though whatever he decides to go with we’re likely to see a similar outcome to usual. Six of England’s last seven wins have finished either 1-0 or 2-0 as defensive stability has been at the forefront of Southgate’s approach and it certainly wouldn’t be surprising if one of those scorelines cropped up again in this tie. However, Ukraine have scored in nine of their last 10 matches and are not afraid to get on the front foot, especially in a game like this, so to offer the buffer of a Ukraine goal, the England win and Under 3.5 goals market offers sufficient value to get behind.

England & Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.91